Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 6.494820e-01 0.843558 1.063193 1.326928 1.631827 1.970214 2.371106
2025-03-09 4.201679e-01 0.671300 0.992518 1.418500 1.953973 2.591149 3.392851
2025-03-16 2.499091e-01 0.505981 0.879133 1.423454 2.160173 3.088716 4.313266
2025-03-23 1.688651e-01 0.430134 0.858214 1.533142 2.499402 3.768737 5.497964
2025-03-30 1.087070e-01 0.358320 0.820198 1.604181 2.784336 4.390600 6.638548
2025-04-06 6.489917e-02 0.290502 0.766712 1.636279 3.008190 4.935996 7.698325
2025-04-13 3.210597e-02 0.218831 0.681637 1.597850 3.116000 5.318921 8.549322
2025-04-20 1.608408e-02 0.175145 0.635163 1.612245 3.298036 5.807610 9.554581
2025-04-27 7.145233e-03 0.140622 0.595023 1.627926 3.477420 6.294264 10.566848
2025-05-04 1.842227e-03 0.102466 0.528204 1.578542 3.541061 6.607023 11.338327
2025-05-11 1.652838e-04 0.071929 0.464317 1.520318 3.579609 6.877391 12.050906
2025-05-18 2.971992e-07 0.055524 0.434379 1.527080 3.728109 7.317846 13.017068
2025-05-25 NaN 0.037890 0.387019 1.487664 3.794330 7.639220 13.829836
2025-06-01 NaN 0.033508 0.393043 1.576393 4.102571 8.355424 15.246380
2025-06-08 NaN 0.024109 0.365537 1.576475 4.242777 8.805706 16.275885
2025-06-15 NaN 0.022625 0.381360 1.691092 4.608727 9.632245 17.887826
2025-06-22 NaN 0.019256 0.382262 1.765468 4.899152 10.341895 19.335044
2025-06-29 NaN 0.014731 0.369195 1.798923 5.109542 10.924084 20.597945
2025-07-06 NaN 0.008901 0.332583 1.757531 5.165648 11.249401 21.472093
2025-07-13 NaN 0.006075 0.316350 1.772676 5.336333 11.769712 22.653745
2025-07-20 NaN 0.004015 0.301686 1.789288 5.509373 12.296302 23.851357
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001798 0.268198 1.736563 5.530774 12.561929 24.644539
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000572 0.234945 1.674397 5.525267 12.778048 25.360882